Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.046075 0.053801 0.062294 0.072307 0.083770 0.096463 0.111566
2025-03-30 0.035012 0.045245 0.057543 0.073334 0.092994 0.116576 0.146908
2025-04-06 0.026544 0.037582 0.051943 0.071824 0.098438 0.132613 0.179556
2025-04-13 0.020760 0.031934 0.047548 0.070657 0.103625 0.148530 0.213778
2025-04-20 0.017880 0.029588 0.046999 0.074299 0.115419 0.174285 0.263936
2025-04-27 0.015438 0.027331 0.046059 0.077003 0.125944 0.199184 0.315452
2025-05-04 0.012596 0.023829 0.042535 0.075051 0.128940 0.213050 0.351905
2025-05-11 0.010588 0.021312 0.040120 0.074371 0.133605 0.229643 0.393854
2025-05-18 0.008753 0.018723 0.037113 0.072144 0.135251 0.241335 0.428840
2025-05-25 0.007356 0.016676 0.034712 0.070555 0.137632 0.254233 0.466729
2025-06-01 0.006431 0.015385 0.033494 0.070904 0.143377 0.273225 0.516440
2025-06-08 0.005423 0.013710 0.031245 0.068916 0.144478 0.284013 0.552601
2025-06-15 0.005023 0.013335 0.031633 0.072313 0.156408 0.315800 0.629875
2025-06-22 0.004436 0.012405 0.030698 0.072858 0.162800 0.337951 0.691532
2025-06-29 0.003772 0.011144 0.028821 0.071113 0.164316 0.350926 0.737064
2025-07-06 0.003242 0.010101 0.027265 0.069833 0.166607 0.365554 0.786971
2025-07-13 0.003052 0.009941 0.027788 0.073369 0.179642 0.402825 0.884566
2025-07-20 0.002832 0.009645 0.027926 0.076007 0.190959 0.437525 0.979725
2025-07-27 0.002429 0.008712 0.026275 0.074060 0.191642 0.450011 1.030309
2025-08-03 0.002134 0.008041 0.025197 0.073379 0.195157 0.468789 1.095474
2025-08-10 0.001824 0.007242 0.023622 0.071175 0.194753 0.478916 1.142923
2025-08-17 0.001579 0.006594 0.022359 0.069603 0.195685 0.492038 1.197828
2025-08-24 0.001422 0.006217 0.021825 0.069947 0.201439 0.516570 1.279778